Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by prior presidential results and recent map adjustments favoring the GOP. As a sitting representative with substantial fundraising, Mast faces no primary opposition while Democratic nominee James Martin emerged from a close primary focused on cost-of-living pressures, clean water, and insurance issues. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and voter base. Potential shifts could arise from a major scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political surge altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa FL-21
Vencedor da eleição da casa FL-21
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Mast (R)
91%
James Martin (D)
8%
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brian Mast (R)
$9,240 Vol.
91%
James Martin (D)
$6,055 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by prior presidential results and recent map adjustments favoring the GOP. As a sitting representative with substantial fundraising, Mast faces no primary opposition while Democratic nominee James Martin emerged from a close primary focused on cost-of-living pressures, clean water, and insurance issues. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and voter base. Potential shifts could arise from a major scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political surge altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by prior presidential results and recent map adjustments favoring the GOP. As a sitting representative with substantial fundraising, Mast faces no primary opposition while Democratic nominee James Martin emerged from a close primary focused on cost-of-living pressures, clean water, and insurance issues. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and voter base. Potential shifts could arise from a major scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political surge altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by prior presidential results and recent map adjustments favoring the GOP. As a sitting representative with substantial fundraising, Mast faces no primary opposition while Democratic nominee James Martin emerged from a close primary focused on cost-of-living pressures, clean water, and insurance issues. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader pricing that reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and voter base. Potential shifts could arise from a major scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political surge altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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