Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson faces Republican nominee James Duffie in Georgia’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Johnson secured his primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in May, while the Republican primary produced a low-profile challenger with minimal fundraising. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unforeseen factors such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant health events affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoGA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
GA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$36,787 Vol.
$36,787 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$36,787 Vol.
$36,787 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,456 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,331 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson faces Republican nominee James Duffie in Georgia’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Johnson secured his primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in May, while the Republican primary produced a low-profile challenger with minimal fundraising. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unforeseen factors such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant health events affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$36,787Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson faces Republican nominee James Duffie in Georgia’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Johnson secured his primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in May, while the Republican primary produced a low-profile challenger with minimal fundraising. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unforeseen factors such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant health events affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,787Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson faces Republican nominee James Duffie in Georgia’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s D+27 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Johnson secured his primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote in May, while the Republican primary produced a low-profile challenger with minimal fundraising. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to unforeseen factors such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant health events affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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