Virginia’s Democratic-controlled legislature advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in late 2025 and early 2026, seeking to redraw the state’s 11 U.S. House districts mid-decade to favor Democrats in ten seats. Voters approved the related referendum in April 2026, yet the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8, 2026, that the amendment violated state constitutional procedures for passage across legislative sessions and elections. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-adopted map in place. With primaries set for August 4 and the November 3, 2026, general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to the existing lines remaining unchanged. Residual uncertainty stems only from highly remote possibilities such as unforeseen emergency litigation or legislative maneuvers that courts have already rejected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sim
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Democratic-controlled legislature advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in late 2025 and early 2026, seeking to redraw the state’s 11 U.S. House districts mid-decade to favor Democrats in ten seats. Voters approved the related referendum in April 2026, yet the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8, 2026, that the amendment violated state constitutional procedures for passage across legislative sessions and elections. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-adopted map in place. With primaries set for August 4 and the November 3, 2026, general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to the existing lines remaining unchanged. Residual uncertainty stems only from highly remote possibilities such as unforeseen emergency litigation or legislative maneuvers that courts have already rejected.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$69,563Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Democratic-controlled legislature advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in late 2025 and early 2026, seeking to redraw the state’s 11 U.S. House districts mid-decade to favor Democrats in ten seats. Voters approved the related referendum in April 2026, yet the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8, 2026, that the amendment violated state constitutional procedures for passage across legislative sessions and elections. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-adopted map in place. With primaries set for August 4 and the November 3, 2026, general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to the existing lines remaining unchanged. Residual uncertainty stems only from highly remote possibilities such as unforeseen emergency litigation or legislative maneuvers that courts have already rejected.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,563Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s Democratic-controlled legislature advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in late 2025 and early 2026, seeking to redraw the state’s 11 U.S. House districts mid-decade to favor Democrats in ten seats. Voters approved the related referendum in April 2026, yet the Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8, 2026, that the amendment violated state constitutional procedures for passage across legislative sessions and elections. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-adopted map in place. With primaries set for August 4 and the November 3, 2026, general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to the existing lines remaining unchanged. Residual uncertainty stems only from highly remote possibilities such as unforeseen emergency litigation or legislative maneuvers that courts have already rejected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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