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icon for Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?

Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?

icon for Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?

Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$69,563 Vol.

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$69,563 Vol.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,563
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,563
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Novo mapa eleitoral da Virgínia usado nas eleições intermediárias?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?" has generated $69.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?" is "Novo mapa eleitoral da Virgínia usado nas eleições intermediárias?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Novo mapa do Congresso da Virgínia usado nas eleições intercalares?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.