Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and voter referendum in early 2026 to enable mid-decade congressional redistricting, passing a map projected to yield 10 Democratic-leaning districts. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the measure in May 2026 on procedural grounds tied to the state constitution's intervening-election requirement. With the May filing deadline for map changes already passed and the existing 2021 districts remaining in place, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new map taking effect for the November 2026 midterms. An appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court remains pending, yet the compressed timeline before primaries and the general election limits realistic pathways for reversal or emergency relief that could alter district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sim
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and voter referendum in early 2026 to enable mid-decade congressional redistricting, passing a map projected to yield 10 Democratic-leaning districts. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the measure in May 2026 on procedural grounds tied to the state constitution's intervening-election requirement. With the May filing deadline for map changes already passed and the existing 2021 districts remaining in place, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new map taking effect for the November 2026 midterms. An appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court remains pending, yet the compressed timeline before primaries and the general election limits realistic pathways for reversal or emergency relief that could alter district lines.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$69,563Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and voter referendum in early 2026 to enable mid-decade congressional redistricting, passing a map projected to yield 10 Democratic-leaning districts. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the measure in May 2026 on procedural grounds tied to the state constitution's intervening-election requirement. With the May filing deadline for map changes already passed and the existing 2021 districts remaining in place, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new map taking effect for the November 2026 midterms. An appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court remains pending, yet the compressed timeline before primaries and the general election limits realistic pathways for reversal or emergency relief that could alter district lines.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,563Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and voter referendum in early 2026 to enable mid-decade congressional redistricting, passing a map projected to yield 10 Democratic-leaning districts. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the measure in May 2026 on procedural grounds tied to the state constitution's intervening-election requirement. With the May filing deadline for map changes already passed and the existing 2021 districts remaining in place, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new map taking effect for the November 2026 midterms. An appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court remains pending, yet the compressed timeline before primaries and the general election limits realistic pathways for reversal or emergency relief that could alter district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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