**The existing 2021 special masters map remains in place for Virginia’s November 2026 congressional elections.** Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment through the legislature in late 2025 and early 2026 that would have authorized mid-decade redistricting and enacted a map projected to yield 10 Democratic seats. Voters narrowly approved the measure in an April 2026 special election referendum, but the Virginia Supreme Court ruled 4–3 on May 8, 2026, that the amendment process violated Article XII procedural requirements because the first legislative passage occurred during the 2025 general election’s early-voting period. The U.S. Supreme Court declined an emergency appeal later that month. These rulings eliminated the legal pathway for the new map before the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. With no successful subsequent challenges or alternative mechanisms available in the remaining timeline, traders assign near-certainty to the status quo. The only realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome involve an extraordinarily narrow, last-minute procedural reversal or unforeseen court intervention before ballots are finalized—both viewed as highly improbable given the completed litigation and approaching election calendar.