Virginia’s attempt at mid-decade congressional redistricting relied on a constitutional amendment and new map passed by the Democratic-controlled General Assembly and narrowly approved by voters in the April 2026 referendum. The Virginia Supreme Court overturned both on May 8, 2026, citing violations of the state constitution’s intervening-election requirement for amendments, leaving the 2021 court-drawn districts in place. Subsequent appeals, including to the U.S. Supreme Court, were unsuccessful. With congressional primaries already conducted under the existing map in early August 2026, traders assign near-certain odds against any new map taking effect for the November midterms. Only an extraordinary, unforeseen reversal—such as a last-minute procedural ruling—could alter this outcome before Election Day.