Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 24 de agosto?
86-87°F 60%
84-85°F 52%
96-97°F 48%
88-89°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
79°F ou menos
30%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
60%
88-89°F
36%
32-33°C
19%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
48%
98°F ou mais
24%
86-87°F 60%
84-85°F 52%
96-97°F 48%
88-89°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
79°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
60%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
36%
32-33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$55 Vol.
18%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
48%
98°F ou mais
$55 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$126Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$126Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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