Recent forecasts from National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes at combined 65% implied probability. Persistent subtropical humidity and cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while historical August 25 averages near 78°F provide climatological context for trader positioning. Minor model variations in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread to adjacent bins, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 25 de agosto?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
69°F ou menos
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F ou mais alta
2%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
69°F ou menos
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F ou mais alta
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies, easterly flow, and scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes at combined 65% implied probability. Persistent subtropical humidity and cloud cover limit radiational cooling, while historical August 25 averages near 78°F provide climatological context for trader positioning. Minor model variations in thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread to adjacent bins, with no major synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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