Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 24 de agosto?
22°C ou menos 87%
32°C ou mais 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
22°C ou menos
87%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C ou mais
46%
22°C ou menos 87%
32°C ou mais 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
22°C ou menos
87%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C ou mais
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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