Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 23 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 23 de junho?
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou superior
Não
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
$372 Vol.
Não
18°C
$746 Vol.
Não
19°C
$774 Vol.
Não
20°C
$969 Vol.
Não
21°C
$3,554 Vol.
Não
22°C
$9,036 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$7,019 Vol.
Não
24°C
$2,771 Vol.
Não
25°C
$579 Vol.
Não
26°C
$715 Vol.
Não
27°C ou superior
$353 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$26,890Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,890Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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