Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 3 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 3 de maio?
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,648 Vol.
$25,648 Vol.
3 mai 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,648 Vol.
$25,648 Vol.
3 mai 2026
12°C ou menos
$2,053 Vol.
Não
13°C
$714 Vol.
Não
14°C
$6,119 Vol.
Não
15°C
$4,006 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,433 Vol.
Não
17°C
$6,838 Vol.
Sim
18°C
$874 Vol.
Não
19°C
$693 Vol.
Não
20°C
$1,002 Vol.
Não
21°C
$328 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$588 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$25,648Data de Término
3 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,648Data de Término
3 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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