Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing above $425 on March 26, propelled by the stock's momentum from AI tailwinds and Azure's 31% revenue surge in the January quarter. Shares ended Friday at $423.52, up 1.8% weekly amid Nasdaq gains, with after-hours trading flirting with $424.50 on optimism over enterprise Copilot adoption. Heightened volatility looms from lingering Fed dot-plot reactions, but no major economic releases coincide. Resolution hinges on NYSE official close; post-event, April 25 Q4 earnings could validate or reverse sentiment, as trader consensus embeds 12% upside potential against historical post-earnings drifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoUS$ 350
99%
$360
94%
$370
53%
US$380
7%
$390
2%
$68 Vol.
US$ 350
99%
$360
94%
$370
53%
US$380
7%
$390
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing above $425 on March 26, propelled by the stock's momentum from AI tailwinds and Azure's 31% revenue surge in the January quarter. Shares ended Friday at $423.52, up 1.8% weekly amid Nasdaq gains, with after-hours trading flirting with $424.50 on optimism over enterprise Copilot adoption. Heightened volatility looms from lingering Fed dot-plot reactions, but no major economic releases coincide. Resolution hinges on NYSE official close; post-event, April 25 Q4 earnings could validate or reverse sentiment, as trader consensus embeds 12% upside potential against historical post-earnings drifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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