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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 24%

Josh O'Connor 23.5%

No Bond chosen 19.7%

Michael B Jordan 18.3%

Polymarket

$18,270 Vol.

Callum Turner 24%

Josh O'Connor 23.5%

No Bond chosen 19.7%

Michael B Jordan 18.3%

Polymarket

$18,270 Vol.

Callum Turner

$2,246 Vol.

28%

Josh O'Connor

$1,944 Vol.

24%

No Bond chosen

$5,668 Vol.

20%

Michael B Jordan

$404 Vol.

18%

James Norton

$400 Vol.

14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$2,691 Vol.

12%

Jacob Elordi

$836 Vol.

11%

Paul Mescal

$645 Vol.

14%

Tom Holland

$684 Vol.

3%

Henry Cavill

$279 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$376 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$325 Vol.

7%

Timothee Chalamet

$380 Vol.

11%

Pierce Brosnan

$351 Vol.

9%

Jack Lowdon

$347 Vol.

30%

Robert James-Collier

$303 Vol.

35%

Theo James

$391 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities among frontrunners reflect ongoing uncertainty in the James Bond casting process, with no official selection announced as producers conduct final-stage screen tests this August. Traders are pricing in Robert James-Collier's edge on the strength of his established British screen presence and dramatic range, while Jack Lowdon and Theo James benefit from similar profiles emphasizing gravitas and marketability. Callum Turner's recent industry endorsements and Jacob Elordi's reported producer meetings add momentum swings, yet historical patterns favor actors in their mid-30s with proven box-office draw. This dynamic highlights how guild buzz, physical suitability, and franchise reboot narratives continue to shape sentiment ahead of a likely 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,270
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities among frontrunners reflect ongoing uncertainty in the James Bond casting process, with no official selection announced as producers conduct final-stage screen tests this August. Traders are pricing in Robert James-Collier's edge on the strength of his established British screen presence and dramatic range, while Jack Lowdon and Theo James benefit from similar profiles emphasizing gravitas and marketability. Callum Turner's recent industry endorsements and Jacob Elordi's reported producer meetings add momentum swings, yet historical patterns favor actors in their mid-30s with proven box-office draw. This dynamic highlights how guild buzz, physical suitability, and franchise reboot narratives continue to shape sentiment ahead of a likely 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,270
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert James-Collier" at 35%, followed by "Jack Lowdon" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Robert James-Collier" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jack Lowdon" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.