Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 76% implied probability, reflecting EON Productions and Amazon MGM's deliberate pace amid ongoing script development for Bond 26, as confirmed by studio exec Courtenay Valenti last week who emphasized a careful search process with no timeline set. Callum Turner leads the field at 13% on unverified rumors of him privately boasting about landing the role—fueled by his rising profile from Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts—while Jacob Elordi's recent buzz and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded earlier frontrunner status trail far behind under 2%. Absent official casting news, markets price in prolonged uncertainty ahead of potential late-2026 or 2027 announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 76%
Callum Turner 12.9%
Jacob Elordi 1.7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.1%
$2,096,444 Vol.
$2,096,444 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
76%

Callum Turner
13%

Jacob Elordi
2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 76%
Callum Turner 12.9%
Jacob Elordi 1.7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.1%
$2,096,444 Vol.
$2,096,444 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
76%

Callum Turner
13%

Jacob Elordi
2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 76% implied probability, reflecting EON Productions and Amazon MGM's deliberate pace amid ongoing script development for Bond 26, as confirmed by studio exec Courtenay Valenti last week who emphasized a careful search process with no timeline set. Callum Turner leads the field at 13% on unverified rumors of him privately boasting about landing the role—fueled by his rising profile from Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts—while Jacob Elordi's recent buzz and Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded earlier frontrunner status trail far behind under 2%. Absent official casting news, markets price in prolonged uncertainty ahead of potential late-2026 or 2027 announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions