Jess Wilson leads the Victorian Liberal-National Coalition as Opposition Leader ahead of the November 28 state election, with recent DemosAU polling showing her party ahead on a 55-45 two-party preferred basis and her preferred premier rating at 43-34 against incumbent Ben Carroll. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Carroll has not reversed voter dissatisfaction tied to cost-of-living pressures, crime rates, and project delays, leaving the Coalition positioned for a likely change of government. Traders price Wilson highest because her party holds the clearest path to forming government under Australia’s preferential voting system, while Carroll and other Labor figures trail amid the Coalition’s sustained polling edge and Wilson’s policy releases on bail reform and public sector restraint.