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Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Market icon
Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Chuck Schumer 29%

John Thune 19%

Brian Schatz 12%

Cory Booker 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 29%

John Thune 19%

Brian Schatz 12%

Cory Booker 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 Vol.

Chuck Schumer será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Chuck Schumer

$3,487 Vol.

29%

John Thune será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

John Thune

$475 Vol.

19%

Brian Schatz será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Brian Schatz

$861 Vol.

12%

Cory Booker será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Cory Booker

$527 Vol.

6%

Lindsey Graham será o próximo Líder da Maioria no Senado? icon

Lindsey Graham

$8,314 Vol.

5%

John Barrasso será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

John Barrasso

$355 Vol.

4%

Mark Kelly será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

3%

Tom Cotton será o próximo Líder da Maioria no Senado? icon

Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

3%

Steve Daines será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Steve Daines

$18,016 Vol.

3%

Patty Murray será a próxima líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

3%

Amy Klobuchar será a próxima líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Amy Klobuchar

$412 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 29% to reclaim the Senate Majority Leader post as Democrats gain ground in 2026 midterm forecasts, reflecting recent Cook Political Report shifts moving four battleground races—like those in North Carolina and Georgia—toward Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority under current leader John Thune (19%), but defend 22 seats versus Democrats' 13, with vulnerability in swing states fueling the tight race. Internal Democratic divisions over Schumer's recruits and progressive challengers add uncertainty, while GOP dissatisfaction with Thune's leadership tempers his odds. Upcoming candidate announcements and economic trends could widen gaps ahead of November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,355
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 29% to reclaim the Senate Majority Leader post as Democrats gain ground in 2026 midterm forecasts, reflecting recent Cook Political Report shifts moving four battleground races—like those in North Carolina and Georgia—toward Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority under current leader John Thune (19%), but defend 22 seats versus Democrats' 13, with vulnerability in swing states fueling the tight race. Internal Democratic divisions over Schumer's recruits and progressive challengers add uncertainty, while GOP dissatisfaction with Thune's leadership tempers his odds. Upcoming candidate announcements and economic trends could widen gaps ahead of November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,355
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Schumer" at 29%, followed by "John Thune" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" has generated $33.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is "Chuck Schumer" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.