Trader consensus centers on 5500-6000 US flight delays for March 24, reflecting historical spring averages amid mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York, where delays typically range 10-15% of 45,000 daily flights. Tight clustering across 5000-8000 stems from lingering uncertainty over potential FAA staffing shortfalls and convective thunderstorms in the Midwest, keeping lower bins viable despite no major disruptions signaled by DOT or FlightAware preliminary data. Separation could emerge from afternoon severe weather updates or real-time airport ground stops, as traders weigh FAA's next-hour delay trackers against base rates from similar low-impact Mondays.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado6000-6500 19%
6500-7000 16%
5000-5500 14%
5500-6000 14%
$1,401 Vol.
$1,401 Vol.
<5000
9%
5000-5500
14%
5500-6000
14%
6000-6500
19%
6500-7000
16%
7000-7500
13%
7500-8000
13%
>8000
13%
6000-6500 19%
6500-7000 16%
5000-5500 14%
5500-6000 14%
$1,401 Vol.
$1,401 Vol.
<5000
9%
5000-5500
14%
5500-6000
14%
6000-6500
19%
6500-7000
16%
7000-7500
13%
7500-8000
13%
>8000
13%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 5500-6000 US flight delays for March 24, reflecting historical spring averages amid mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York, where delays typically range 10-15% of 45,000 daily flights. Tight clustering across 5000-8000 stems from lingering uncertainty over potential FAA staffing shortfalls and convective thunderstorms in the Midwest, keeping lower bins viable despite no major disruptions signaled by DOT or FlightAware preliminary data. Separation could emerge from afternoon severe weather updates or real-time airport ground stops, as traders weigh FAA's next-hour delay trackers against base rates from similar low-impact Mondays.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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