Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around $165-$180 for NVIDIA's (NVDA) close the week of March 23, with $170-$175 at 33.5% implied probability leading narrowly over adjacent bins, signaling modest upside from current levels near $142 amid post-GTC euphoria. Key drivers include ramping Blackwell GPU production boosting AI hyperscaler demand, offset by U.S. export curbs on H20 chips to China capping ~15% revenue exposure. Competitive dynamics hinge on March 28 PCE inflation print influencing Fed rate cut odds—traders price 65% chance of March cut per CME FedWatch—versus AI capex guidance at next earnings. Historical post-event volatility favors range-bound consolidation unless macro surprises shift risk premiums.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$170-$175 34%
$175-$180 29%
$165-$170 28%
$180-$185 24%
< $155
11%
$155-$160
9%
US$160–US$165
14%
$165-$170
28%
$170-$175
34%
$175-$180
29%
$180-$185
24%
$185-$190
12%
$190-$195
9%
$195-$200
11%
>US$200
9%
$170-$175 34%
$175-$180 29%
$165-$170 28%
$180-$185 24%
< $155
11%
$155-$160
9%
US$160–US$165
14%
$165-$170
28%
$170-$175
34%
$175-$180
29%
$180-$185
24%
$185-$190
12%
$190-$195
9%
$195-$200
11%
>US$200
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around $165-$180 for NVIDIA's (NVDA) close the week of March 23, with $170-$175 at 33.5% implied probability leading narrowly over adjacent bins, signaling modest upside from current levels near $142 amid post-GTC euphoria. Key drivers include ramping Blackwell GPU production boosting AI hyperscaler demand, offset by U.S. export curbs on H20 chips to China capping ~15% revenue exposure. Competitive dynamics hinge on March 28 PCE inflation print influencing Fed rate cut odds—traders price 65% chance of March cut per CME FedWatch—versus AI capex guidance at next earnings. Historical post-event volatility favors range-bound consolidation unless macro surprises shift risk premiums.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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