Buffalo Bills hold the strongest position in the AFC East title market thanks to Josh Allen’s consistent elite production and supporting additions like wide receiver DJ Moore, which analysts tie directly to their 63.5% implied probability. New England’s 31.5% reflects the Patriots’ 2025 turnaround under Mike Vrabel and Drake Maye’s continued growth, bolstered by receiver A.J. Brown, though early 2026 results and a tougher schedule have tempered expectations relative to Buffalo. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins remain long shots at 4.3% and 2.0%, respectively, given roster questions and limited contention paths after weak recent campaigns. Week 1 outcomes and preseason roster evaluations continue to shape trader consensus around these two frontrunners.