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icon for Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Política·Eleição

Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine

icon for Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Política·Eleição

Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Vitória total dos Democratas 46%

Dems TX e MI, Reps ME 12.0%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%

Reps TX e MI, Dems ME 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos Democratas 46%

Dems TX e MI, Reps ME 12.0%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%

Reps TX e MI, Dems ME 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

Vitória total dos Democratas

$1,233 Vol.

46%

Dems TX e MI, Reps ME

$116 Vol.

12%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME

$157 Vol.

11%

Reps TX e MI, Dems ME

$169 Vol.

11%

Repúblicanos vencem todos

$131 Vol.

7%

Dems TX & ME, Reps MI

$164 Vol.

7%

Reps TX e ME, Dems MI

$142 Vol.

6%

Dems TX, Reps MI & ME

$102 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling in the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate contests shows margins within the margin of error across multiple surveys, with Democratic nominees James Talarico, Abdul El-Sayed, and Troy Jackson each holding narrow or tied leads against Republicans Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and incumbent Susan Collins. Trader consensus on the combo market reflects this uncertainty, pricing "other" outcomes highest as no single party configuration commands a clear edge. The races feature an open Democratic seat in even-partisan Michigan, a Republican primary upset in deep-red Texas, and a competitive matchup in blue-leaning Maine, where late nominee changes and turnout dynamics among independents remain influential. Upcoming campaign events and final voter mobilization in the weeks before November could shift individual results and separate the leading combinations.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,214
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling in the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate contests shows margins within the margin of error across multiple surveys, with Democratic nominees James Talarico, Abdul El-Sayed, and Troy Jackson each holding narrow or tied leads against Republicans Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and incumbent Susan Collins. Trader consensus on the combo market reflects this uncertainty, pricing "other" outcomes highest as no single party configuration commands a clear edge. The races feature an open Democratic seat in even-partisan Michigan, a Republican primary upset in deep-red Texas, and a competitive matchup in blue-leaning Maine, where late nominee changes and turnout dynamics among independents remain influential. Upcoming campaign events and final voter mobilization in the weeks before November could shift individual results and separate the leading combinations.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,214
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitória total dos Democratas" at 46%, followed by "Dems TX e MI, Reps ME" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is "Vitória total dos Democratas" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dems TX e MI, Reps ME" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Combo de três vias do Senado: Texas, Michigan, Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.