Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval rating in April at 58%, reflecting a modest stabilization after January's net -57 favourability low, with March YouGov polls holding steady at -48 amid his cautious foreign policy on the Iran conflict. Starmer's decision to permit limited US access to UK bases for strikes on Iranian sites while resisting wider war involvement has drawn split public opinion per Sky/YouGov surveys, yet Opinium data shows a recent four-point uptick, dampening leadership speculation. Domestic initiatives, including March 27 pledges to curb social media addiction for child protection, provide further tailwinds into April, outweighing PMQs criticisms, as no major scandals have emerged in the past week to reverse the trend.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSubiu
Subiu
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval rating in April at 58%, reflecting a modest stabilization after January's net -57 favourability low, with March YouGov polls holding steady at -48 amid his cautious foreign policy on the Iran conflict. Starmer's decision to permit limited US access to UK bases for strikes on Iranian sites while resisting wider war involvement has drawn split public opinion per Sky/YouGov surveys, yet Opinium data shows a recent four-point uptick, dampening leadership speculation. Domestic initiatives, including March 27 pledges to curb social media addiction for child protection, provide further tailwinds into April, outweighing PMQs criticisms, as no major scandals have emerged in the past week to reverse the trend.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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