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PM previsões e probabilidades

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

32%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$468K Liq.

51

Ends em 8 meses

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

56%

Giorgia Meloni

$3.8K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

6

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

14%

$12.3K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

112

Ends em 8 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

33%

$116 Vol.

$157 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

27%

$759 Vol.

$808 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

79%

$44.5K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$121K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

36

Ends em 8 meses

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

65%

June

$328K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

<1%

April 22

$90M Vol.

$14M today

$8M Liq.

4,496

Ends há 6 dias

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

16%

France

$780M Vol.

$9M today

$164M Liq.

635

Ends em 3 meses

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

40%

George Russell

$133M Vol.

$5M today

$11M Liq.

166

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

100%

April 26

$7M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

2,320

Elon Musk # tweets April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 21 - April 28, 2026?

74%

220-239

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

44%

June 30

$59M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

1,409

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

<1%

$47M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

4

Ends em 1 dia

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

36%

Finland

$117M Vol.

$2M today

$16M Liq.

479

Ends em 18 dias

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

39%

May 15

$26M Vol.

$1M today

$606K Liq.

5

Ends em 1 dia

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$967K today

$870K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

98%

$1M Vol.

$960K today

$109K Liq.

297

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4255 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.