**Sébastien Lecornu has served as French Prime Minister since September 2025, surviving earlier no-confidence threats through Socialist Party tolerance tied to pension reform suspension and budget concessions.** His position remains precarious in a fragmented National Assembly without a stable majority. The dominant near-term pressure stems from negotiations over the 2027 budget, which requires roughly €30 billion in savings amid deficit targets above 5% of GDP and opposition resistance to austerity measures such as higher medical franchises or pension adjustments. Recent weeks have featured Lecornu signaling spending restraint while ruling out new broad taxes on business, alongside referral of budget-related media leaks to prosecutors. The Socialist primary and positioning by La France Insoumise and Rassemblement National ahead of the 2027 presidential contest reduce the likelihood of renewed cross-party deals. Budget debates are scheduled to intensify from late September, with potential no-confidence motions or Article 49.3 invocations as key procedural flashpoints that could trigger government collapse or resignation.