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icon for O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

icon for O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

$844,921 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$844,921 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$322,606 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political impasse following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan's coalition government has kept him in caretaker prime minister status, with limited powers to issue ordinances or enact major changes. The Social Democrats' withdrawal from the pro-European alliance and subsequent alliance with opposition forces triggered the collapse, after which repeated presidential consultations failed to secure parliamentary majorities for new nominees. Bolojan and the PNL have consistently backed Siegfried Mureșan alongside USR and UDMR while rejecting unconditional support for PSD-led options, prioritizing PNRR milestones, deficit correction, and state-company reforms. Parliament's return in September raises prospects for renewed negotiations or a budget revision, which requires a fully empowered cabinet, though deep party distrust and far-right polling strength continue to complicate resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$844,921
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's political impasse following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan's coalition government has kept him in caretaker prime minister status, with limited powers to issue ordinances or enact major changes. The Social Democrats' withdrawal from the pro-European alliance and subsequent alliance with opposition forces triggered the collapse, after which repeated presidential consultations failed to secure parliamentary majorities for new nominees. Bolojan and the PNL have consistently backed Siegfried Mureșan alongside USR and UDMR while rejecting unconditional support for PSD-led options, prioritizing PNRR milestones, deficit correction, and state-company reforms. Parliament's return in September raises prospects for renewed negotiations or a budget revision, which requires a fully empowered cabinet, though deep party distrust and far-right polling strength continue to complicate resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$844,921
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 95%, followed by "31 de maio" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" has generated $844.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de maio" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.