Market icon

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria

Market icon

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria

abr 6

abr 6

abr 13

abr 13

abr 6

abr 6

abr 13

abr 13

70-80 milhões 49%

<70 milhões 35%

80-90 milhões 21%

>90 milhões 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,564 Vol.

70-80 milhões 49%

<70 milhões 35%

80-90 milhões 21%

>90 milhões 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,564 Vol.

<70 milhões

$3,630 Vol.

35%

70-80 milhões

$3,262 Vol.

49%

80-90 milhões

$1,619 Vol.

21%

>90 milhões

$2,053 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's trader consensus favors a 70-80 million second-weekend domestic gross at 48% implied probability, reflecting its blockbuster $131.7 million three-day opening and $190.8 million five-day debut—the biggest of 2026 so far—but tempered by front-loaded Easter timing and tracking estimates of $60-75 million. Strong post-weekend holds, including a record-breaking $14.8 million Tuesday (best YTD), have nudged sentiment upward versus initial 60-70 million projections from Deadline and Boxoffice Pro, outpacing the prior film's 37% sophomore drop to $92 million. Competition remains light, though family audiences may split with holdovers like Project Hail Mary; final tallies lock this weekend amid sustained word-of-mouth buzz.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,564
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's trader consensus favors a 70-80 million second-weekend domestic gross at 48% implied probability, reflecting its blockbuster $131.7 million three-day opening and $190.8 million five-day debut—the biggest of 2026 so far—but tempered by front-loaded Easter timing and tracking estimates of $60-75 million. Strong post-weekend holds, including a record-breaking $14.8 million Tuesday (best YTD), have nudged sentiment upward versus initial 60-70 million projections from Deadline and Boxoffice Pro, outpacing the prior film's 37% sophomore drop to $92 million. Competition remains light, though family audiences may split with holdovers like Project Hail Mary; final tallies lock this weekend amid sustained word-of-mouth buzz.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,564
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

""The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70-80 milhões" at 49%, followed by "<70 milhões" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria" is "70-80 milhões" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<70 milhões" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.