Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead after Harry Kane's goal and assist in their hard-fought Champions League quarter-final first-leg win at the Bernabéu two days ago, boosting trader consensus to 61.5% implied probability for a home victory in the second leg at Allianz Arena. Kane's return from ankle injury proved decisive against a Real Madrid side already missing Thibaut Courtois (thigh) and Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), with further blows including Aurelien Tchouaméni sidelined for the return and Dani Carvajal out five weeks with a soleus strain. Bayern's strong recent UCL form under Vincent Kompany, combined with home advantage and Real's domestic stumble versus Mallorca, underscores the favorites' edge, though Madrid's attack remains potent and a draw (19.5%) keeps the tie competitive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead after Harry Kane's goal and assist in their hard-fought Champions League quarter-final first-leg win at the Bernabéu two days ago, boosting trader consensus to 61.5% implied probability for a home victory in the second leg at Allianz Arena. Kane's return from ankle injury proved decisive against a Real Madrid side already missing Thibaut Courtois (thigh) and Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), with further blows including Aurelien Tchouaméni sidelined for the return and Dani Carvajal out five weeks with a soleus strain. Bayern's strong recent UCL form under Vincent Kompany, combined with home advantage and Real's domestic stumble versus Mallorca, underscores the favorites' edge, though Madrid's attack remains potent and a draw (19.5%) keeps the tie competitive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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