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icon for Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?

Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?

icon for Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?

Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?

59%-60% 100.0%

58%-59% <1%

60%-61% <1%

Acima de 61% <1%

Polymarket

$6,449 Vol.

59%-60% 100.0%

58%-59% <1%

60%-61% <1%

Acima de 61% <1%

Polymarket

$6,449 Vol.

<58%

$1,040 Vol.

Não

58%-59%

$558 Vol.

Não

59%-60%

$1,376 Vol.

Sim

60%-61%

$2,003 Vol.

Não

Acima de 61%

$1,472 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Union Pacific’s Q2 2026 adjusted operating ratio faces balanced market-implied odds across the 58–61% range ahead of the July 23 earnings release, reflecting uncertainty over whether efficiency gains can offset higher fuel costs and sustain sequential improvement from the 59.9% adjusted figure reported in Q1. Management has reaffirmed its full-year outlook for continued operating-ratio reduction through network productivity, carload growth, and pricing discipline, while noting diesel prices above prior assumptions as a margin headwind. Traders weigh these operational levers against potential volume softness or acquisition-related expenses that could widen the ratio toward or above 60%. Historical Q2 2025 results showed a stronger 58.1% adjusted level, underscoring the sensitivity of the metric to fuel and execution in the current environment.

This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,449
Data de Término
23 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 8, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Union Pacific’s Q2 2026 adjusted operating ratio faces balanced market-implied odds across the 58–61% range ahead of the July 23 earnings release, reflecting uncertainty over whether efficiency gains can offset higher fuel costs and sustain sequential improvement from the 59.9% adjusted figure reported in Q1. Management has reaffirmed its full-year outlook for continued operating-ratio reduction through network productivity, carload growth, and pricing discipline, while noting diesel prices above prior assumptions as a margin headwind. Traders weigh these operational levers against potential volume softness or acquisition-related expenses that could widen the ratio toward or above 60%. Historical Q2 2025 results showed a stronger 58.1% adjusted level, underscoring the sensitivity of the metric to fuel and execution in the current environment.

This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,449
Data de Término
23 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 8, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Union Pacific's adjusted operating ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "59%-60%" at 100%, followed by "<58%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?" is "59%-60%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<58%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Relação operacional ajustada do segundo trimestre da Union Pacific (UNP)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.