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icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

Chloe Foster 38.8%

Dillon Roberts 22%

Michael Johnstone 21%

Leanne Raw 18%

Polymarket

$15,746 Vol.

Chloe Foster 38.8%

Dillon Roberts 22%

Michael Johnstone 21%

Leanne Raw 18%

Polymarket

$15,746 Vol.

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$3,500 Vol.

39%

icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$2,355 Vol.

22%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$2,468 Vol.

21%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$5,488 Vol.

18%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$973 Vol.

5%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$963 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with multiple sitting councillors and new entrants keeping trader consensus dispersed across numerous outcomes. Chloe Foster, Dillon Roberts, Michael Johnstone, and Leanne Raw currently hold the strongest implied probabilities among named candidates, while the balance of listed contenders and “Other” remain clustered near even money. Nominations remain open until September 21, allowing further entries that could dilute support further. Without public polling or major endorsements to date, the localized nature of the race and limited trading volume sustain the tight spread. Any formal ticket arrangements, community issue positioning, or late momentum among the top contenders before voting begins could begin to separate probabilities.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$15,746
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with multiple sitting councillors and new entrants keeping trader consensus dispersed across numerous outcomes. Chloe Foster, Dillon Roberts, Michael Johnstone, and Leanne Raw currently hold the strongest implied probabilities among named candidates, while the balance of listed contenders and “Other” remain clustered near even money. Nominations remain open until September 21, allowing further entries that could dilute support further. Without public polling or major endorsements to date, the localized nature of the race and limited trading volume sustain the tight spread. Any formal ticket arrangements, community issue positioning, or late momentum among the top contenders before voting begins could begin to separate probabilities.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$15,746
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chloe Foster" at 39%, followed by "Dillon Roberts" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is "Chloe Foster" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dillon Roberts" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.