Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

abr 14

abr 14

Thrash 48%

Beast 46%

IF 36%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 36%

Polymarket
NOVO

Thrash 48%

Beast 46%

IF 36%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 36%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

Thrash

$2 Vol.

48%

Market icon

Beast

$0 Vol.

46%

Market icon

IF

$5 Vol.

36%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$0 Vol.

36%

Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Madagascar

$42 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Anaconda

$13 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Untold: A Morte e a Vida de Lamar Odom

$14 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$27 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin race for the top US Netflix movie this week, with Beast at 49.5% implied probability edging Thrash at 46%, reflecting Beast's recent surge to No. 1 on daily charts after landing fresh on the platform, buoyed by Idris Elba's star power and its gripping survival thriller appeal in a post-theatrical revival. Thrash, a buzzy new shark-attack disaster flick starring Phoebe Dynevor and Djimon Hounsou, premieres tomorrow (April 10), positioning it to potentially dominate weekend streaming metrics amid genre hunger seen in recent hits like Anaconda's climb. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle holds strong at 36% as an evergreen family adventure, but lacks fresh release momentum; watch for Thrash's launch views and holdover competition to tip the scales before Netflix's weekly top 10 locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$103
Data de Término
14 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin race for the top US Netflix movie this week, with Beast at 49.5% implied probability edging Thrash at 46%, reflecting Beast's recent surge to No. 1 on daily charts after landing fresh on the platform, buoyed by Idris Elba's star power and its gripping survival thriller appeal in a post-theatrical revival. Thrash, a buzzy new shark-attack disaster flick starring Phoebe Dynevor and Djimon Hounsou, premieres tomorrow (April 10), positioning it to potentially dominate weekend streaming metrics amid genre hunger seen in recent hits like Anaconda's climb. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle holds strong at 36% as an evergreen family adventure, but lacks fresh release momentum; watch for Thrash's launch views and holdover competition to tip the scales before Netflix's weekly top 10 locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$103
Data de Término
14 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 48%, followed by "Beast" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beast" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.