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What will King Charles say during State Opening?

icon for What will King Charles say during State Opening?

What will King Charles say during State Opening?

$16,718 Vol.

13 mai 2026
Polymarket

$16,718 Vol.

Polymarket

Parliament 3+ times

$2,950 Vol.

No

Government 3+ times

$647 Vol.

Yes

Brexit

$211 Vol.

No

Security

$446 Vol.

Yes

Starmer

$1,988 Vol.

No

Health

$369 Vol.

Yes

Controversial

$117 Vol.

No

Common / Commons

$1,791 Vol.

Yes

Recession

$268 Vol.

No

House / Housing

$540 Vol.

Yes

Education

$376 Vol.

Yes

Frankly

$253 Vol.

No

Defense

$309 Vol.

Yes

Defeat

$93 Vol.

No

Failure

$152 Vol.

No

Trump

$1,485 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$434 Vol.

Yes

War

$110 Vol.

No

Mother

$1,115 Vol.

No

Gas

$212 Vol.

No

Economy

$232 Vol.

Yes

Healthcare

$895 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$238 Vol.

No

Six Seven

$127 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,358 Vol.

No

King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.The State Opening of Parliament takes place today, May 13, 2026, as King Charles III delivers the government-drafted King's Speech from the throne in the House of Lords, formally launching the new parliamentary session and detailing Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour administration legislative priorities. Expect emphases on tackling the cost-of-living crisis, creating a national wealth fund for investment, and other policy measures amid recent political pressures, including a Labour rebellion and Starmer surviving a confidence vote on April 29. The monarch's remarks strictly reflect ministerial content, with no personal input, while King Charles's scaled-back cancer treatment enables full participation. Traders should monitor live proceedings for resolution, as the speech's verbatim phrasing will determine outcomes.

King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,718
Data de Término
13 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.The State Opening of Parliament takes place today, May 13, 2026, as King Charles III delivers the government-drafted King's Speech from the throne in the House of Lords, formally launching the new parliamentary session and detailing Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour administration legislative priorities. Expect emphases on tackling the cost-of-living crisis, creating a national wealth fund for investment, and other policy measures amid recent political pressures, including a Labour rebellion and Starmer surviving a confidence vote on April 29. The monarch's remarks strictly reflect ministerial content, with no personal input, while King Charles's scaled-back cancer treatment enables full participation. Traders should monitor live proceedings for resolution, as the speech's verbatim phrasing will determine outcomes.

King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,718
Data de Término
13 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
King Charles is scheduled to participate in the State Opening of Parliament on May 13, 2026 (https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/occasions/stateopening/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where King Charles is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will King Charles say during State Opening?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Government 3+ times" at 100%, followed by "Security" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will King Charles say during State Opening?" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will King Charles say during State Opening?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will King Charles say during State Opening?" is "Government 3+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Security" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will King Charles say during State Opening?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.