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icon for O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)

O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)

icon for O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)

O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)

Ended: mai 3

jul 26

ago 2

Ended: mai 3

jul 26

ago 2

$43,739 Vol.

3 mai 2026
Polymarket

$43,739 Vol.

Polymarket

Irã

$5,163 Vol.

Sim

Donald / Trump

$2,645 Vol.

Sim

Maduro

$2,867 Vol.

Não

Powell

$600 Vol.

Sim

Warsh

$3,757 Vol.

Não

Hegseth

$337 Vol.

Sim

Bitcoin

$3,232 Vol.

Não

China

$1,904 Vol.

Sim

Ucrânia

$1,616 Vol.

Não

Rússia

$2,143 Vol.

Não

Israel

$615 Vol.

Sim

Hezbollah

$1,081 Vol.

Não

Inteligência Artificial / IA

$1,035 Vol.

Sim

Acordo

$1,237 Vol.

Sim

Cessar-fogo

$1,450 Vol.

Não

Petróleo

$983 Vol.

Sim

S&P

$1,444 Vol.

Não

Ações

$2,994 Vol.

Sim

Elon / Musk

$2,369 Vol.

Não

Anthropic / Claude

$695 Vol.

Não

OpenAI / ChatGPT

$874 Vol.

Não

Aiatolá / Khamenei / Khomeini

$1,603 Vol.

Não

Estreito de Hormuz / Estreito / Hormuz

$1,466 Vol.

Não

Zohran / Mamdani

$1,632 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not. If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.

Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.

Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.

Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.

If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.

If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.

If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Volume
$43,739
Data de Término
3 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not. If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not. If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.

Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.

Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.

Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.

If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.

If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.

If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Volume
$43,739
Data de Término
3 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not. If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Irã" at 100%, followed by "Donald / Trump" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)" has generated $43.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)" is "Irã" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald / Trump" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que as manchetes de primeira página do NYT dirão esta semana? (27 de abril a 3 de maio)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.