Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has shifted trader sentiment, positioning the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets with a 75.5% implied probability. The move follows its late-May funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives the company an early start on the review process that could enable a fall listing, subject to market conditions. OpenAI, last valued at $852 billion, had been preparing a confidential filing in May with banker support but has not yet submitted paperwork, leaving its timeline more uncertain despite earlier signals of a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. This first-mover step in the competitive large language model landscape underscores how filing progress and capital access influence IPO sequencing for the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAnthropic
$101,119 Vol.
$101,119 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Anthropic
$101,119 Vol.
$101,119 Vol.
31 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has shifted trader sentiment, positioning the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets with a 75.5% implied probability. The move follows its late-May funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives the company an early start on the review process that could enable a fall listing, subject to market conditions. OpenAI, last valued at $852 billion, had been preparing a confidential filing in May with banker support but has not yet submitted paperwork, leaving its timeline more uncertain despite earlier signals of a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. This first-mover step in the competitive large language model landscape underscores how filing progress and capital access influence IPO sequencing for the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$101,119Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has shifted trader sentiment, positioning the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets with a 75.5% implied probability. The move follows its late-May funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives the company an early start on the review process that could enable a fall listing, subject to market conditions. OpenAI, last valued at $852 billion, had been preparing a confidential filing in May with banker support but has not yet submitted paperwork, leaving its timeline more uncertain despite earlier signals of a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. This first-mover step in the competitive large language model landscape underscores how filing progress and capital access influence IPO sequencing for the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$101,119Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, has shifted trader sentiment, positioning the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets with a 75.5% implied probability. The move follows its late-May funding round at a $965 billion valuation and gives the company an early start on the review process that could enable a fall listing, subject to market conditions. OpenAI, last valued at $852 billion, had been preparing a confidential filing in May with banker support but has not yet submitted paperwork, leaving its timeline more uncertain despite earlier signals of a potential September or fourth-quarter debut. This first-mover step in the competitive large language model landscape underscores how filing progress and capital access influence IPO sequencing for the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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