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Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?

Market icon

Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?

Sim

86% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

$15,873 Vol.

Sim

86% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

$15,873 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell by a former staffer, detailed in a San Francisco Chronicle report within the last 24 hours, have triggered a swift backlash in the crowded California gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus to an 85.5% implied probability of his withdrawal before the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. Prominent Democrats including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries have publicly urged him to drop out, while senior campaign staff resigned and key endorsements were withdrawn amid the controversy. Swalwell denies the claims and vows to continue, but the rapid erosion of party support reflects historical patterns where such scandals often force candidacies to fold before primaries, especially in a multicandidate field vulnerable to vote-splitting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,873
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell by a former staffer, detailed in a San Francisco Chronicle report within the last 24 hours, have triggered a swift backlash in the crowded California gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus to an 85.5% implied probability of his withdrawal before the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. Prominent Democrats including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries have publicly urged him to drop out, while senior campaign staff resigned and key endorsements were withdrawn amid the controversy. Swalwell denies the claims and vows to continue, but the rapid erosion of party support reflects historical patterns where such scandals often force candidacies to fold before primaries, especially in a multicandidate field vulnerable to vote-splitting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,873
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes da primária da Califórnia?" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?" is "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes da primária da Califórnia?" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eric Swalwell vai desistir antes das primárias da Califórnia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.