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icon for O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?
Economia·Preços

O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?

icon for O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?
Economia·Preços

O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?

NOVO
20 set 2026
Polymarket

$289 Vol.

Polymarket

20 de setembro

$81 Vol.

51%

30 de setembro

$0 Vol.

49%

31 de outubro

$208 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.U.S. regular gasoline prices have climbed sharply, with the national average reaching $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up more than $1.20 from a year earlier amid crude oil near $100 per barrel and volatility tied to Middle East supply risks. State-level averages range from $3.92 in Indiana—the current low—to over $6 in California, leaving no state near the $3.75 threshold. Rising demand, reported at 8.79 million barrels per day recently by the EIA, and limited near-term refinery or policy offsets support sustained elevated pricing. Traders monitoring this market will focus on upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases, crude benchmarks, and any regional tax or supply shifts that could pressure the lowest state averages before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volume
$289
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.U.S. regular gasoline prices have climbed sharply, with the national average reaching $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up more than $1.20 from a year earlier amid crude oil near $100 per barrel and volatility tied to Middle East supply risks. State-level averages range from $3.92 in Indiana—the current low—to over $6 in California, leaving no state near the $3.75 threshold. Rising demand, reported at 8.79 million barrels per day recently by the EIA, and limited near-term refinery or policy offsets support sustained elevated pricing. Traders monitoring this market will focus on upcoming weekly EIA inventory releases, crude benchmarks, and any regional tax or supply shifts that could pressure the lowest state averages before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volume
$289
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20 de setembro" at 51%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?" is "20 de setembro" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O gás ficará abaixo de $ 3,75 em qualquer estado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.