Skip to main content

Satoshi previsões e probabilidades

·
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

10%

$3M Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

39

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

89%

Nothing

$7.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

3%

$29.0K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

7%

$11.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

8%

December 31

$40.0K Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$37.6K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

59%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$212 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

1%

↑ 80,000

$56M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

84%

↑ 80,000

$34M Vol.

$179K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$1.1K Vol.

$730 Liq.

3

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up

$256K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Satoshi.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Satoshi that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $93.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Satoshi predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.