Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 80.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's recent statement—issued within the last day—that the former Attorney General will skip her subpoenaed April 14 deposition, citing her ouster from the post last week. Bipartisan threats from figures like Reps. Nancy Mace (R) and Robert Garcia (D) have intensified post-firing, but historical reluctance to enforce contempt amid GOP-led Oversight Committee dynamics tempers expectations of swift action. No vote is scheduled, and enforcement typically lags, leaving room for negotiation or delay before the deadline; watch for post-deposition committee moves as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
NOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 80.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's recent statement—issued within the last day—that the former Attorney General will skip her subpoenaed April 14 deposition, citing her ouster from the post last week. Bipartisan threats from figures like Reps. Nancy Mace (R) and Robert Garcia (D) have intensified post-firing, but historical reluctance to enforce contempt amid GOP-led Oversight Committee dynamics tempers expectations of swift action. No vote is scheduled, and enforcement typically lags, leaving room for negotiation or delay before the deadline; watch for post-deposition committee moves as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$2Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 80.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's recent statement—issued within the last day—that the former Attorney General will skip her subpoenaed April 14 deposition, citing her ouster from the post last week. Bipartisan threats from figures like Reps. Nancy Mace (R) and Robert Garcia (D) have intensified post-firing, but historical reluctance to enforce contempt amid GOP-led Oversight Committee dynamics tempers expectations of swift action. No vote is scheduled, and enforcement typically lags, leaving room for negotiation or delay before the deadline; watch for post-deposition committee moves as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 80.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's recent statement—issued within the last day—that the former Attorney General will skip her subpoenaed April 14 deposition, citing her ouster from the post last week. Bipartisan threats from figures like Reps. Nancy Mace (R) and Robert Garcia (D) have intensified post-firing, but historical reluctance to enforce contempt amid GOP-led Oversight Committee dynamics tempers expectations of swift action. No vote is scheduled, and enforcement typically lags, leaving room for negotiation or delay before the deadline; watch for post-deposition committee moves as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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