Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market as the leading contenders, separated by just half a percentage point, with England close behind amid a cluster of elite European sides. Their positioning reflects recent Nations League results, consistent qualifying dominance, and deep tournament pedigrees, including Spain’s 2024 European Championship title and France’s repeated semifinal appearances. England’s strong campaign and attacking depth keep them competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain realistic paths through South American qualifying strength and star power. This tight distribution underscores broad parity among top squads entering the final preparations, where minor injury updates or form shifts in the coming weeks could readily adjust implied probabilities before the June kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 16.8%
França 16.3%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Portugal 9.8%
$1,298,706,024 Vol.
$1,298,706,024 Vol.
Espanha
17%
França
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
10%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
4%
Noruega
3%
Japão
2%
Colômbia
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marrocos
1%
EUA
1%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Equador
1%
Croácia
1%
Turquia
1%
Senegal
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Gana
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Egito
<1%
Irã
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
Espanha 16.8%
França 16.3%
Inglaterra 11.3%
Portugal 9.8%
$1,298,706,024 Vol.
$1,298,706,024 Vol.
Espanha
17%
França
16%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
10%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Alemanha
5%
Holanda
4%
Noruega
3%
Japão
2%
Colômbia
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marrocos
1%
EUA
1%
Suíça
1%
Uruguai
1%
México
1%
Equador
1%
Croácia
1%
Turquia
1%
Senegal
1%
Áustria
1%
Suécia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Coreia do Sul
<1%
Gana
<1%
Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguai
<1%
Escócia
<1%
Costa do Marfim
<1%
Chéquia
<1%
Egito
<1%
Irã
<1%
Argélia
<1%
Tunísia
<1%
Austrália
<1%
Nova Zelândia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordânia
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbequistão
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Iraque
<1%
África do Sul
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Catar
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market as the leading contenders, separated by just half a percentage point, with England close behind amid a cluster of elite European sides. Their positioning reflects recent Nations League results, consistent qualifying dominance, and deep tournament pedigrees, including Spain’s 2024 European Championship title and France’s repeated semifinal appearances. England’s strong campaign and attacking depth keep them competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain realistic paths through South American qualifying strength and star power. This tight distribution underscores broad parity among top squads entering the final preparations, where minor injury updates or form shifts in the coming weeks could readily adjust implied probabilities before the June kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions