Trader consensus slightly favors Cardiff Rugby at 52% implied probability in this tight United Rugby Championship Welsh derby at Parc y Scarlets, reflecting their gritty narrow defeat to Sharks last Friday despite Taulupe Faletau's season-ending shoulder injury, contrasting Scarlets' heavier 36-19 loss to Leinster days earlier. Scarlets hold recent head-to-head edge, winning the last two clashes including 21-17 at Arms Park in December, but suffer a major blow with fly-half Sam Costelow ruled out for the season via fresh injury update. Both sides languish mid-to-lower table after mixed form—Scarlets' Zebre win sandwiched by losses, Cardiff's heavy Bulls defeat followed by resilience—and excel in turnover battles, keeping dynamics fiercely competitive with draw pricing at 6%. Home advantage and derby intensity fuel the 47% Scarlets viability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIf Scarlets wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 2:47 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.unitedrugby.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Scarlets wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 2:47 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.unitedrugby.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Cardiff Rugby at 52% implied probability in this tight United Rugby Championship Welsh derby at Parc y Scarlets, reflecting their gritty narrow defeat to Sharks last Friday despite Taulupe Faletau's season-ending shoulder injury, contrasting Scarlets' heavier 36-19 loss to Leinster days earlier. Scarlets hold recent head-to-head edge, winning the last two clashes including 21-17 at Arms Park in December, but suffer a major blow with fly-half Sam Costelow ruled out for the season via fresh injury update. Both sides languish mid-to-lower table after mixed form—Scarlets' Zebre win sandwiched by losses, Cardiff's heavy Bulls defeat followed by resilience—and excel in turnover battles, keeping dynamics fiercely competitive with draw pricing at 6%. Home advantage and derby intensity fuel the 47% Scarlets viability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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