Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a Ballon d’Or top-five finish after a record 61-goal club campaign that delivered Bayern Munich a domestic double, reinforced by six World Cup goals and an England third-place finish. Spain’s 2026 World Cup triumph has elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the strongest challengers, with the teenager’s La Liga contributions and the midfielder’s Golden Ball performance anchoring their cases. Kylian Mbappé’s scoring surge and Ousmane Dembélé’s prior winner status keep them in contention, while Lionel Messi’s final run and MLS success have cooled. The 30-man shortlist released September 8 narrowed the field, and the October 26 London ceremony will resolve the vote based on the 2025-26 season plus the World Cup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$86,661 Объем
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
96%
Kylian Mbappé
84%
Lionel Messi
60%
Rodri
63%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
53%
Michael Olise
34%
Ousmane Dembélé
33%
Pau Cubarsi
12%
Declan Rice
13%
Erling Haaland
8%
Jude Bellingham
7%
Vitinha
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Luis Diaz
3%
Achraf Hakimi
3%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
$86,661 Объем
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
96%
Kylian Mbappé
84%
Lionel Messi
60%
Rodri
63%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
53%
Michael Olise
34%
Ousmane Dembélé
33%
Pau Cubarsi
12%
Declan Rice
13%
Erling Haaland
8%
Jude Bellingham
7%
Vitinha
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Luis Diaz
3%
Achraf Hakimi
3%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a Ballon d’Or top-five finish after a record 61-goal club campaign that delivered Bayern Munich a domestic double, reinforced by six World Cup goals and an England third-place finish. Spain’s 2026 World Cup triumph has elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the strongest challengers, with the teenager’s La Liga contributions and the midfielder’s Golden Ball performance anchoring their cases. Kylian Mbappé’s scoring surge and Ousmane Dembélé’s prior winner status keep them in contention, while Lionel Messi’s final run and MLS success have cooled. The 30-man shortlist released September 8 narrowed the field, and the October 26 London ceremony will resolve the vote based on the 2025-26 season plus the World Cup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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