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Политика·палата представителей

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Политика·палата представителей

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%

Matt Ortega 3.7%

Carin Elam 3.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%

Matt Ortega 3.7%

Carin Elam 3.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Aisha Wahab

$516 Объем

89%

Melissa Hernandez

$248 Объем

3%

Wendy Huang

$410 Объем

2%

Carin Elam

$246 Объем

3%

Matt Ortega

$219 Объем

4%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$705 Объем

16%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$188 Объем

1%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds an 89.5% trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market due to her endorsement by the California Democratic Party, state senate tenure, and polling advantage in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 special primary and potential August 18 general election, accelerating the timeline and favoring candidates with established name recognition and institutional support. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, Matt Ortega, and Carin Elam trail in early surveys and lack comparable party backing, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. The primary structure allows for an outright winner above 50 percent, further concentrating probabilities on the frontrunner.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Объем
$2,531
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds an 89.5% trader consensus in the CA-14 special election market due to her endorsement by the California Democratic Party, state senate tenure, and polling advantage in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 special primary and potential August 18 general election, accelerating the timeline and favoring candidates with established name recognition and institutional support. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, Matt Ortega, and Carin Elam trail in early surveys and lack comparable party backing, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. The primary structure allows for an outright winner above 50 percent, further concentrating probabilities on the frontrunner.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Объем
$2,531
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Aisha Wahab» с 89%, за ним следует «Rakhi Israni Singh» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Rakhi Israni Singh» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.