Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout clusters tightly around 120-130 million votes because standard midterm patterns—lower participation than presidential years, historical rates near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, and enthusiasm gaps between parties—leave room for modest variation. Current generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and special-election overperformance by Democrats suggest stronger opposition mobilization could push totals toward the higher end, while lower youth and independent engagement plus typical off-year drop-off support outcomes near the middle or below. Redistricting changes and primary-season activity add variables that could shift overall participation, but no single recent catalyst has produced clear separation in the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 44%
120-125 млн 31%
<85 млн 18.1%
115-120 млн 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
18%
85-90 млн
<1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
1%
100–105 млн
4%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
13%
115-120 млн
15%
120-125 млн
31%
125–130 млн
21%
130 млн+
29%
130 млн+ 44%
120-125 млн 31%
<85 млн 18.1%
115-120 млн 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$386 Объем
18%
85-90 млн
$419 Объем
<1%
90–95 млн
$1,552 Объем
1%
95-100 млн
$269 Объем
1%
100–105 млн
$809 Объем
4%
105-110 млн
$436 Объем
6%
110–115 млн
$549 Объем
13%
115-120 млн
$1,081 Объем
15%
120-125 млн
$408 Объем
31%
125–130 млн
$1,204 Объем
21%
130 млн+
$318 Объем
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout clusters tightly around 120-130 million votes because standard midterm patterns—lower participation than presidential years, historical rates near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, and enthusiasm gaps between parties—leave room for modest variation. Current generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and special-election overperformance by Democrats suggest stronger opposition mobilization could push totals toward the higher end, while lower youth and independent engagement plus typical off-year drop-off support outcomes near the middle or below. Redistricting changes and primary-season activity add variables that could shift overall participation, but no single recent catalyst has produced clear separation in the range.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$7,430Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout clusters tightly around 120-130 million votes because standard midterm patterns—lower participation than presidential years, historical rates near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, and enthusiasm gaps between parties—leave room for modest variation. Current generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and special-election overperformance by Democrats suggest stronger opposition mobilization could push totals toward the higher end, while lower youth and independent engagement plus typical off-year drop-off support outcomes near the middle or below. Redistricting changes and primary-season activity add variables that could shift overall participation, but no single recent catalyst has produced clear separation in the range.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$7,430Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 House turnout clusters tightly around 120-130 million votes because standard midterm patterns—lower participation than presidential years, historical rates near 46-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, and enthusiasm gaps between parties—leave room for modest variation. Current generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and special-election overperformance by Democrats suggest stronger opposition mobilization could push totals toward the higher end, while lower youth and independent engagement plus typical off-year drop-off support outcomes near the middle or below. Redistricting changes and primary-season activity add variables that could shift overall participation, but no single recent catalyst has produced clear separation in the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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