Voter turnout in the 2026 House elections remains tightly contested in trader pricing because midterm participation historically falls well below presidential-year levels, typically ranging 40-50 percent of eligible voters and producing totals near 110-130 million ballots. Structural factors such as the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot, varying state election laws on early and mail voting, and differential party mobilization efforts sustain this uncertainty. Recent primary and special-election data show elevated engagement in some Democratic-leaning areas alongside steady Republican participation, while youth surveys indicate strong self-reported intent tempered by education and partisan divides. Redistricting changes in several states and broader economic or policy debates could shift enthusiasm in either direction before November, but no single catalyst has yet produced a decisive separation in expected totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 44%
120-125 млн 31%
<85 млн 19.4%
115-120 млн 15%
<85 млн
19%
85-90 млн
<1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
1%
100–105 млн
4%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
14%
115-120 млн
15%
120-125 млн
31%
125–130 млн
22%
130 млн+
30%
130 млн+ 44%
120-125 млн 31%
<85 млн 19.4%
115-120 млн 15%
<85 млн
19%
85-90 млн
<1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
1%
100–105 млн
4%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
14%
115-120 млн
15%
120-125 млн
31%
125–130 млн
22%
130 млн+
30%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter turnout in the 2026 House elections remains tightly contested in trader pricing because midterm participation historically falls well below presidential-year levels, typically ranging 40-50 percent of eligible voters and producing totals near 110-130 million ballots. Structural factors such as the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot, varying state election laws on early and mail voting, and differential party mobilization efforts sustain this uncertainty. Recent primary and special-election data show elevated engagement in some Democratic-leaning areas alongside steady Republican participation, while youth surveys indicate strong self-reported intent tempered by education and partisan divides. Redistricting changes in several states and broader economic or policy debates could shift enthusiasm in either direction before November, but no single catalyst has yet produced a decisive separation in expected totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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