The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market reflects a wide-open field with no established frontrunner, as traders price in uncertainty more than two years before the first primaries. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom lead at closely bunched levels because each draws support from distinct party factions—progressive activists, Senate leadership prospects, and California-based fundraising networks—while name recognition and past national exposure keep others in the mix. Recent state-level positioning and midterm fundraising cycles have sustained this fragmentation, with limited movement from formal endorsements or polling shifts. Upcoming 2026 Senate and gubernatorial results, candidate announcements, and early primary-state organizing could consolidate support and widen gaps among contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGavin Newsom campaigns in South Carolina, signaling 2028 presidential ambitions
Gavin Newsom dips to 14%1%
Newsom's visit to South Carolina, the first primary state for Democrats in 2028, was seen as exploratory for a presidential run, but his market odds continued to decline amid growing competition, ending near 14%.
Gavin Newsom tests waters in South Carolina ahead of 2028 presidential run
Gavin Newsom drops to 14%10%
Newsom made campaign-style appearances in South Carolina, signaling early moves toward a 2028 presidential bid. Despite no formal announcement, this activity maintained his market interest though his price declined amid uncertainty.




















































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