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icon for Победитель выборов в Берлин
Мир·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Берлин

icon for Победитель выборов в Берлин
Мир·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Берлин

Левица 99.4%

АдГ <1%

ХДС <1%

Зелёные <1%

Polymarket

$4,467,601 Объем

Левица 99.4%

АдГ <1%

ХДС <1%

Зелёные <1%

Polymarket

$4,467,601 Объем

icon for Левица

Левица

$618,564 Объем

99%

icon for АдГ

АдГ

$2,611,467 Объем

<1%

icon for ХДС

ХДС

$458,701 Объем

<1%

icon for Зелёные

Зелёные

$248,556 Объем

<1%

icon for СДПГ

СДПГ

$447,232 Объем

<1%

icon for СвДП

СвДП

$20,953 Объем

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 Объем

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Die Linke leads the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election with projections showing roughly 25 percent of the vote and the most seats, reflecting trader consensus on its commanding position. Strong performance on housing affordability, appeal among younger voters, and gains from non-voters propelled the party ahead of the CDU, which fell to around 19-20 percent amid candidate changes and governance scrutiny. The SPD recorded historic lows near 12 percent while the AfD and Grüne trailed further back. With results aligning across early counts and high turnout near 73-75 percent, few realistic paths remain for another party to claim the largest seat total, though final official tallies from the Landeswahlleiter could still confirm or adjust narrow margins in specific districts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$4,467,601
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Оспаривается

Предложение исхода

Окончательный спор

Окончательный

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Die Linke leads the September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election with projections showing roughly 25 percent of the vote and the most seats, reflecting trader consensus on its commanding position. Strong performance on housing affordability, appeal among younger voters, and gains from non-voters propelled the party ahead of the CDU, which fell to around 19-20 percent amid candidate changes and governance scrutiny. The SPD recorded historic lows near 12 percent while the AfD and Grüne trailed further back. With results aligning across early counts and high turnout near 73-75 percent, few realistic paths remain for another party to claim the largest seat total, though final official tallies from the Landeswahlleiter could still confirm or adjust narrow margins in specific districts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$4,467,601
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Оспаривается

Предложение исхода

Окончательный спор

Окончательный

Связанные

icon for Получит ли АдГ третье место по числу мест на выборах в парламент Берлина 2026 года?

Получит ли АдГ третье место по числу мест на выборах в парламент Берлина 2026 года?

97%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли партия «Зелёные» четвертое по количеству мест число в земельных выборах Берлина 2026 года?

Выиграет ли партия «Зелёные» четвертое по количеству мест число в земельных выборах Берлина 2026 года?

97%
Да
icon for Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

93%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Берлин» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Левица» с 99%, за ним следует «АдГ» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Берлин» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.5 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Берлин», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Берлин» — «Левица» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «АдГ» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Берлин» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.