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Политика·Мексика

Sonora Governor Election Winner

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Политика·Мексика

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%

Javier Lamarque Cano 25%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.8%

Polymarket

$38,175 Объем

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%

Javier Lamarque Cano 25%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 20.8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.8%

Polymarket

$38,175 Объем

icon for Lorenia Valles Sampedro

Lorenia Valles Sampedro

$25,463 Объем

27%

icon for Javier Lamarque Cano

Javier Lamarque Cano

$4,003 Объем

25%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$1,660 Объем

21%

icon for Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

$982 Объем

17%

icon for Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

$554 Объем

6%

icon for Natalia Rivera Grijalva

Natalia Rivera Grijalva

$376 Объем

3%

icon for Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

$428 Объем

3%

icon for Ernesto Gándara Camou

Ernesto Gándara Camou

$617 Объем

3%

icon for Froylán Gámez Gamboa

Froylán Gámez Gamboa

$334 Объем

1%

icon for Manuel Scott Sánchez

Manuel Scott Sánchez

$366 Объем

1%

icon for Lilly Téllez García

Lilly Téllez García

$399 Объем

1%

icon for Omar del Valle Colosio

Omar del Valle Colosio

$418 Объем

<1%

icon for Rogelio Díaz Brown

Rogelio Díaz Brown

$355 Объем

<1%

icon for Víctor Hugo Celaya

Víctor Hugo Celaya

$344 Объем

<1%

icon for Guadalupe María Soto

Guadalupe María Soto

$386 Объем

<1%

icon for Damián Zepeda Vidales

Damián Zepeda Vidales

$333 Объем

<1%

icon for Patricia Mercado Castro

Patricia Mercado Castro

$474 Объем

<1%

icon for María Dolores del Río Sánchez

María Dolores del Río Sánchez

$367 Объем

<1%

icon for Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

$318 Объем

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Morena maintains a substantial structural edge in Sonora ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial contest, reflected in repeated polling showing the party and its allies with 40-50% party identification versus roughly 10-20% for the PAN and lower shares for Movimiento Ciudadano and the PRI.** This underpins trader pricing that clusters the highest probabilities around Morena-aligned figures Lorenia Valles Sampedro (26.5%) and Javier Lamarque Cano (24.0%), followed by Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of MC (20.8%) and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN (14.0%). Valles requested Senate leave in June 2026 to pursue the Morena coordination role and has led or closely contested recent internal surveys, aided by favorable name recognition and opinion balances; Lamarque remains within a few points in July-August measurements. The broader field stays fragmented because candidate selection processes are ongoing, opposition parties lack unified frontrunners, and the election remains more than nine months away, leaving room for shifts from further internal polling, coalition decisions, or late developments.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Объем
$38,175
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Morena maintains a substantial structural edge in Sonora ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial contest, reflected in repeated polling showing the party and its allies with 40-50% party identification versus roughly 10-20% for the PAN and lower shares for Movimiento Ciudadano and the PRI.** This underpins trader pricing that clusters the highest probabilities around Morena-aligned figures Lorenia Valles Sampedro (26.5%) and Javier Lamarque Cano (24.0%), followed by Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of MC (20.8%) and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN (14.0%). Valles requested Senate leave in June 2026 to pursue the Morena coordination role and has led or closely contested recent internal surveys, aided by favorable name recognition and opinion balances; Lamarque remains within a few points in July-August measurements. The broader field stays fragmented because candidate selection processes are ongoing, opposition parties lack unified frontrunners, and the election remains more than nine months away, leaving room for shifts from further internal polling, coalition decisions, or late developments.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Объем
$38,175
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Sonora Governor Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 19 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Lorenia Valles Sampedro» с 27%, за ним следует «Javier Lamarque Cano» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 27¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Sonora Governor Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $38.2K с момента запуска рынка Aug 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Sonora Governor Election Winner», просмотри 19 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Sonora Governor Election Winner» — «Lorenia Valles Sampedro» с 27%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Javier Lamarque Cano» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Sonora Governor Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.