Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 59 percent in the Alaska Senate race against incumbent Dan Sullivan at 41.5 percent, reflecting her consistent polling edge in Alaska Survey Research surveys and dominant first-quarter fundraising that exceeded Sullivan’s total by more than four times. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the contest against the two-term Republican has positioned the race as competitive in a state that uses a nonpartisan August primary followed by ranked-choice voting in November. The recent qualification of a second Republican named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has introduced potential voter confusion that may further pressure the incumbent. These factors, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide success, shape current market-implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Аляски
Победитель выборов в Сенат Аляски
Мэри Пэлтола 59%
Дэн Салливан 42%
Дастин Дарден <1%
Энн Диенер <1%
$335,738 Объем
$335,738 Объем
Мэри Пэлтола
59%
Дэн Салливан
42%
Дастин Дарден
<1%
Энн Диенер
<1%
Ричард Грейсон
<1%
Мэри Пэлтола 59%
Дэн Салливан 42%
Дастин Дарден <1%
Энн Диенер <1%
$335,738 Объем
$335,738 Объем
Мэри Пэлтола
59%
Дэн Салливан
42%
Дастин Дарден
<1%
Энн Диенер
<1%
Ричард Грейсон
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 59 percent in the Alaska Senate race against incumbent Dan Sullivan at 41.5 percent, reflecting her consistent polling edge in Alaska Survey Research surveys and dominant first-quarter fundraising that exceeded Sullivan’s total by more than four times. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the contest against the two-term Republican has positioned the race as competitive in a state that uses a nonpartisan August primary followed by ranked-choice voting in November. The recent qualification of a second Republican named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has introduced potential voter confusion that may further pressure the incumbent. These factors, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide success, shape current market-implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы