Skip to main content
icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

Флавио Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 8.5%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%

Камилу Сантана 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,747 Объем

Флавио Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 8.5%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%

Камилу Сантана 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,747 Объем

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$216,831 Объем

81%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,088,345 Объем

9%

icon for Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

$143,199 Объем

8%

icon for Камилу Сантана

Камилу Сантана

$96,192 Объем

1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$686,706 Объем

1%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$340,826 Объем

1%

icon for Мишель Болсонару

Мишель Болсонару

$120,630 Объем

1%

icon for Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

$190,280 Объем

1%

icon for Жаир Болсонару

Жаир Болсонару

$122,434 Объем

<1%

icon for Ромеу Зема

Ромеу Зема

$291,121 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуардо Болсонару

Эдуардо Болсонару

$95,371 Объем

<1%

icon for Альдо Ребело

Альдо Ребело

$55,923 Объем

<1%

icon for Ратиньо Жуниор

Ратиньо Жуниор

$663,226 Объем

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмин

Жералду Алкмин

$148,331 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуарду Лейте

Эдуарду Лейте

$64,943 Объем

<1%

icon for Хелдер Барбалью

Хелдер Барбалью

$20,960 Объем

<1%

icon for Тереза Кристина

Тереза Кристина

$35,428 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming market lead for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because he has consolidated right-wing support as the Liberal Party nominee and Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsed heir.** Recent July party conventions formalized his candidacy alongside Lula’s Workers’ Party ticket (with Geraldo Alckmin), while other conservative figures such as Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and Romeu Zema (NOVO) remain splintered. Polls from late July show Lula near 40–42% and Flávio at 32–33%, with the rest of the field in single digits, confirming the two-candidate dynamic for top spots. A May audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet he has retained his position as the primary opposition standard-bearer. Trader pricing reflects this structural consolidation of conservative votes behind one name rather than broader fragmentation or late surges by lower-polling alternatives. The first-round timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,380,747
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds an overwhelming market lead for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because he has consolidated right-wing support as the Liberal Party nominee and Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsed heir.** Recent July party conventions formalized his candidacy alongside Lula’s Workers’ Party ticket (with Geraldo Alckmin), while other conservative figures such as Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and Romeu Zema (NOVO) remain splintered. Polls from late July show Lula near 40–42% and Flávio at 32–33%, with the rest of the field in single digits, confirming the two-candidate dynamic for top spots. A May audio scandal tied to the Banco Master case temporarily dented Flávio’s numbers, yet he has retained his position as the primary opposition standard-bearer. Trader pricing reflects this structural consolidation of conservative votes behind one name rather than broader fragmentation or late surges by lower-polling alternatives. The first-round timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,380,747
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

66%
Да
icon for Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

10%
Да
icon for Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 81%, за ним следует «Ренан Сантос» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 81¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.4 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — «Флавио Болсонару» с 81%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Ренан Сантос» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.