Recent polling consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in first place for the October 2026 first round, typically in the low-to-mid 40s, leaving the main opposition figure Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) as the clear second with support in the mid-to-high 30s. Other declared candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail well behind in single digits or lower across multiple surveys released in July. Trader consensus for second place therefore reflects this established two-candidate dynamic, with limited evidence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would elevate an alternative contender ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 81%
Ренан Сантос 10.8%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 6.8%
Фернандо Хаддад 1.0%
$4,383,813 Объем
$4,383,813 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Флавио Болсонару
81%
Ренан Сантос
11%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
7%
Фернандо Хаддад
1%
Роналду Кайаду
1%
Мишель Болсонару
1%
Камилу Сантана
1%
Жаир Болсонару
<1%
Ромеу Зема
<1%
Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%
Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%
Альдо Ребело
<1%
Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%
Жералду Алкмин
<1%
Эдуарду Лейте
<1%
Хелдер Барбалью
<1%
Тереза Кристина
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 81%
Ренан Сантос 10.8%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 6.8%
Фернандо Хаддад 1.0%
$4,383,813 Объем
$4,383,813 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Флавио Болсонару
$216,954 Объем
81%
Ренан Сантос
$1,089,806 Объем
11%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
$143,320 Объем
7%
Фернандо Хаддад
$686,825 Объем
1%
Роналду Кайаду
$340,949 Объем
1%
Мишель Болсонару
$120,753 Объем
1%
Камилу Сантана
$96,315 Объем
1%
Жаир Болсонару
$122,557 Объем
<1%
Ромеу Зема
$291,245 Объем
<1%
Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
$190,403 Объем
<1%
Эдуардо Болсонару
$95,494 Объем
<1%
Альдо Ребело
$56,047 Объем
<1%
Ратиньо Жуниор
$663,236 Объем
<1%
Жералду Алкмин
$148,454 Объем
<1%
Эдуарду Лейте
$65,067 Объем
<1%
Хелдер Барбалью
$20,960 Объем
<1%
Тереза Кристина
$35,428 Объем
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in first place for the October 2026 first round, typically in the low-to-mid 40s, leaving the main opposition figure Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) as the clear second with support in the mid-to-high 30s. Other declared candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail well behind in single digits or lower across multiple surveys released in July. Trader consensus for second place therefore reflects this established two-candidate dynamic, with limited evidence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would elevate an alternative contender ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$4,383,813Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in first place for the October 2026 first round, typically in the low-to-mid 40s, leaving the main opposition figure Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) as the clear second with support in the mid-to-high 30s. Other declared candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail well behind in single digits or lower across multiple surveys released in July. Trader consensus for second place therefore reflects this established two-candidate dynamic, with limited evidence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would elevate an alternative contender ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,383,813Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently places incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in first place for the October 2026 first round, typically in the low-to-mid 40s, leaving the main opposition figure Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) as the clear second with support in the mid-to-high 30s. Other declared candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos trail well behind in single digits or lower across multiple surveys released in July. Trader consensus for second place therefore reflects this established two-candidate dynamic, with limited evidence of recent polling shifts or major campaign events that would elevate an alternative contender ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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