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Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

Флавио Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 8.6%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%

Камилу Сантана 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,500 Объем

Флавио Болсонару 81%

Ренан Сантос 8.6%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%

Камилу Сантана 1.2%

Polymarket

$4,380,500 Объем

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$216,820 Объем

81%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,088,330 Объем

9%

icon for Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

$143,189 Объем

8%

icon for Камилу Сантана

Камилу Сантана

$96,177 Объем

1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$686,696 Объем

1%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$340,811 Объем

1%

icon for Мишель Болсонару

Мишель Болсонару

$120,620 Объем

1%

icon for Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

$190,265 Объем

1%

icon for Жаир Болсонару

Жаир Болсонару

$122,419 Объем

<1%

icon for Ромеу Зема

Ромеу Зема

$291,106 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуардо Болсонару

Эдуардо Болсонару

$95,356 Объем

<1%

icon for Альдо Ребело

Альдо Ребело

$55,913 Объем

<1%

icon for Ратиньо Жуниор

Ратиньо Жуниор

$663,226 Объем

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмин

Жералду Алкмин

$148,251 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуарду Лейте

Эдуарду Лейте

$64,933 Объем

<1%

icon for Хелдер Барбалью

Хелдер Барбалью

$20,960 Объем

<1%

icon for Тереза Кристина

Тереза Кристина

$35,428 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,380,500
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,380,500
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

66%
Да
icon for Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

10%
Да
icon for Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 81%, за ним следует «Ренан Сантос» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 81¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.4 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — «Флавио Болсонару» с 81%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Ренан Сантос» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.