Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 81%
Ренан Сантос 8.6%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%
Камилу Сантана 1.2%
$4,380,500 Объем
$4,380,500 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
81%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
8%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Фернандо Хаддад
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Мишель Болсонару
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Ромеу Зема
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Жералду Алкмин
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 81%
Ренан Сантос 8.6%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 8.3%
Камилу Сантана 1.2%
$4,380,500 Объем
$4,380,500 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
81%

Ренан Сантос
9%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
8%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Фернандо Хаддад
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Мишель Болсонару
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Ромеу Зема
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Жералду Алкмин
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round because he is viewed as the primary opposition standard-bearer. As a senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro—who faces legal restrictions on candidacy—Flávio benefits from established right-wing party networks and voter bases in key states. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the strongest position for first place, which lowers his implied probability of finishing exactly second. Lower-priced names such as Renan Santos reflect limited national name recognition or party infrastructure at this stage. Recent polling averages and early campaign positioning have reinforced these relative standings, with no major shifts from court rulings, party conventions, or coalition announcements altering the hierarchy in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы