The rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader consensus reflected in the narrow 54.5–45.5 split. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovering approval ratings after earlier deficits in mid-2026 surveys, while Neto draws strength from opposition momentum and national alignments following União's break with the Lula administration. The August 9 debate and mid-August campaign launches sharpened focus on state governance and alliances, sustaining volatility. Further polling shifts, additional debates, or national developments tied to federal coalitions could widen the gap before the potential runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖерониму Родригес 55%
ACM Нето 46%
Клебер Роза <1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя <1%
$117,304 Объем
$117,304 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Жерониму Родригес
55%
ACM Нето
46%
Клебер Роза
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
<1%
Жуау Рома
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
<1%
Руй Коста
<1%
Жерониму Родригес 55%
ACM Нето 46%
Клебер Роза <1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя <1%
$117,304 Объем
$117,304 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Жерониму Родригес
$37,118 Объем
55%
ACM Нето
$40,237 Объем
46%
Клебер Роза
$12,792 Объем
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
$10,899 Объем
<1%
Жуау Рома
$5,186 Объем
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
$5,325 Объем
<1%
Руй Коста
$5,747 Объем
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader consensus reflected in the narrow 54.5–45.5 split. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovering approval ratings after earlier deficits in mid-2026 surveys, while Neto draws strength from opposition momentum and national alignments following União's break with the Lula administration. The August 9 debate and mid-August campaign launches sharpened focus on state governance and alliances, sustaining volatility. Further polling shifts, additional debates, or national developments tied to federal coalitions could widen the gap before the potential runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Объем
$117,304Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader consensus reflected in the narrow 54.5–45.5 split. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovering approval ratings after earlier deficits in mid-2026 surveys, while Neto draws strength from opposition momentum and national alignments following União's break with the Lula administration. The August 9 debate and mid-August campaign launches sharpened focus on state governance and alliances, sustaining volatility. Further polling shifts, additional debates, or national developments tied to federal coalitions could widen the gap before the potential runoff.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$117,304Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader consensus reflected in the narrow 54.5–45.5 split. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovering approval ratings after earlier deficits in mid-2026 surveys, while Neto draws strength from opposition momentum and national alignments following União's break with the Lula administration. The August 9 debate and mid-August campaign launches sharpened focus on state governance and alliances, sustaining volatility. Further polling shifts, additional debates, or national developments tied to federal coalitions could widen the gap before the potential runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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