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Политика·Основные выборы

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место
Политика·Основные выборы

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Milton Cardoso 32%

Regis Ethur 22%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Milton Cardoso 32%

Regis Ethur 22%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$110 Объем

28%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$150 Объем

23%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$69 Объем

32%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$69 Объем

22%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$69 Объем

17%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$69 Объем

10%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$102 Объем

10%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$121 Объем

9%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$69 Объем

8%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$68 Объем

8%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$69 Объем

8%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$69 Объем

8%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$155 Объем

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fragmented field of over a dozen confirmed candidates for Rio Grande do Sul's two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader consensus, with recent July 2026 Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading names amid roughly 39% undecided voters. Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) registers the highest single-digit or low-double-digit support in most surveys, followed closely by Marcel Van Hattem (NOVO), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), reflecting divided regional preferences across left, center, and opposition blocs. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with limited new alliances or major campaign shifts since the latest polls, sustaining dispersion. Separation ahead of the October 4 vote could emerge from shifts in undecided turnout, party coordination on the second seat, or late momentum in key voter segments.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$1,185
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).A fragmented field of over a dozen confirmed candidates for Rio Grande do Sul's two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader consensus, with recent July 2026 Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading names amid roughly 39% undecided voters. Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL) registers the highest single-digit or low-double-digit support in most surveys, followed closely by Marcel Van Hattem (NOVO), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), reflecting divided regional preferences across left, center, and opposition blocs. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with limited new alliances or major campaign shifts since the latest polls, sustaining dispersion. Separation ahead of the October 4 vote could emerge from shifts in undecided turnout, party coordination on the second seat, or late momentum in key voter segments.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$1,185
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Таня Перес второй по величине процент голосов на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул в 2026 году?

Получит ли Таня Перес второй по величине процент голосов на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул в 2026 году?

28%
Да
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

56%
icon for Росалия Фернандес наберет второе по величине количество голосов на выборах в Сенат в штате Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

Росалия Фернандес наберет второе по величине количество голосов на выборах в Сенат в штате Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

23%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Milton Cardoso» с 32%, за ним следует «Manuela D'Ávila» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место» — «Milton Cardoso» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Manuela D'Ávila» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 1-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.