KMT candidates hold a commanding position heading into Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, backed by 14 of 22 mayoral and magisterial seats from the prior cycle, extensive local organization, and coordinated nominations with the TPP in most contested districts. The opposition coalition controls the legislature and has used that leverage for referendums on issues such as nuclear power, further consolidating anti-DPP sentiment in northern and central regions. DPP incumbents remain competitive in southern strongholds like Tainan and Kaohsiung, yet recent polling and candidate registration patterns show limited prospects for net gains sufficient to overtake the KMT. TPP fractures in select counties and the party’s diminished national standing have further concentrated opposition votes behind KMT nominees. Trader consensus therefore assigns overwhelming probability to the KMT securing the largest number of wins.