The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
42% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 окт. 2026 г.
Да
42% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 окт. 2026 г.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Объем
$40Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$40Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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