United Russia’s commanding position in the Russia Parliamentary Election Winner market stems from its status as the incumbent ruling party in a tightly controlled political system, where it has dominated every Duma election since 2003. Voting concluded on September 20, 2026, with partial official results showing the party at approximately 57-58% and leading in most single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. Other registered parties, including the Communist Party, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, all align with core Kremlin positions on the Ukraine conflict and face structural barriers to challenging the outcome. The Supreme Court removed the only notable anti-war option, Yabloko, from the ballot prior to the vote. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects these institutional factors and historical precedent, though final certification by September 25 or unforeseen legal disputes could still introduce minor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в России
Победитель парламентских выборов в России
Единая Россия (ЕР) 99.8%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$4,985,914 Объем
$4,985,914 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
100%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 99.8%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$4,985,914 Объем
$4,985,914 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$2,230,069 Объем
100%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$294,019 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$748,262 Объем
<1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$264,215 Объем
<1%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$267,803 Объем
<1%
Родина
$505,710 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$604,433 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$71,405 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia’s commanding position in the Russia Parliamentary Election Winner market stems from its status as the incumbent ruling party in a tightly controlled political system, where it has dominated every Duma election since 2003. Voting concluded on September 20, 2026, with partial official results showing the party at approximately 57-58% and leading in most single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. Other registered parties, including the Communist Party, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, all align with core Kremlin positions on the Ukraine conflict and face structural barriers to challenging the outcome. The Supreme Court removed the only notable anti-war option, Yabloko, from the ballot prior to the vote. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects these institutional factors and historical precedent, though final certification by September 25 or unforeseen legal disputes could still introduce minor uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$4,985,914Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia’s commanding position in the Russia Parliamentary Election Winner market stems from its status as the incumbent ruling party in a tightly controlled political system, where it has dominated every Duma election since 2003. Voting concluded on September 20, 2026, with partial official results showing the party at approximately 57-58% and leading in most single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. Other registered parties, including the Communist Party, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, all align with core Kremlin positions on the Ukraine conflict and face structural barriers to challenging the outcome. The Supreme Court removed the only notable anti-war option, Yabloko, from the ballot prior to the vote. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects these institutional factors and historical precedent, though final certification by September 25 or unforeseen legal disputes could still introduce minor uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$4,985,914Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia’s commanding position in the Russia Parliamentary Election Winner market stems from its status as the incumbent ruling party in a tightly controlled political system, where it has dominated every Duma election since 2003. Voting concluded on September 20, 2026, with partial official results showing the party at approximately 57-58% and leading in most single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. Other registered parties, including the Communist Party, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, all align with core Kremlin positions on the Ukraine conflict and face structural barriers to challenging the outcome. The Supreme Court removed the only notable anti-war option, Yabloko, from the ballot prior to the vote. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects these institutional factors and historical precedent, though final certification by September 25 or unforeseen legal disputes could still introduce minor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Займут ли «Новые люди» (НЛ) четвертое место по количеству мест на следующих парламентских выборах в России?
86%
Да
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
99%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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