**LDPR holds the lead in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with New People close behind, reflecting polling fluctuations and organizational differences among the main systemic opposition parties.** Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys have shown LDPR and New People trading positions around 10-15 percent support, while KPRF has trended softer in several measures. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and a renewed campaign platform focused on social measures and migration policy under leader Leonid Slutsky. New People has gained visibility through targeted appeals on issues such as internet access and urban concerns, aided by its younger leadership and recent list approvals. KPRF maintains a traditional base but faces headwinds in converting support into a higher finish. With all major party lists registered and the vote set for mid-September, late campaign momentum and turnout patterns among these contenders remain the primary variables for the final ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 50%
New People (NL) 38%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 3.7%
$64,577 Объем
$64,577 Объем

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
50%

New People (NL)
38%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
9%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Яблоко
1%

United Russia (ER)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 50%
New People (NL) 38%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 3.7%
$64,577 Объем
$64,577 Объем

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
50%

New People (NL)
38%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
9%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Яблоко
1%

United Russia (ER)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**LDPR holds the lead in trader pricing for third place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with New People close behind, reflecting polling fluctuations and organizational differences among the main systemic opposition parties.** Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys have shown LDPR and New People trading positions around 10-15 percent support, while KPRF has trended softer in several measures. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and a renewed campaign platform focused on social measures and migration policy under leader Leonid Slutsky. New People has gained visibility through targeted appeals on issues such as internet access and urban concerns, aided by its younger leadership and recent list approvals. KPRF maintains a traditional base but faces headwinds in converting support into a higher finish. With all major party lists registered and the vote set for mid-September, late campaign momentum and turnout patterns among these contenders remain the primary variables for the final ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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