Fabio Roscioli leads the Reggio di Calabria by-election market at 71% implied probability because Forza Italia and its centre-right allies have consolidated behind the party’s national treasurer for the September 27-28 vote in the uninominal constituency vacated by Francesco Cannizzaro. The seat has long been a centre-right stronghold, and the coalition’s unified backing plus low expected turnout typical of by-elections reinforce trader expectations. Domenico Giannetta, backed by Futuro Nazionale, sits at 17.5% after splitting from Forza Italia, while centre-left candidate Frank Benedetto and smaller-party contender Francesco Toscano trail at lower levels. Candidate formalization in late August and the absence of further major shifts have kept the hierarchy stable heading into the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФабио Рощоли 71%
Доменико Джанетта 18%
Франк Бенедетто 10%
Франческо Тоскано 3.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 сент. 2026 г.
Фабио Рощоли
71%
Доменико Джанетта
18%
Франк Бенедетто
10%
Франческо Тоскано
3%
Фабио Рощоли 71%
Доменико Джанетта 18%
Франк Бенедетто 10%
Франческо Тоскано 3.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 сент. 2026 г.
Фабио Рощоли
$151 Объем
71%
Доменико Джанетта
$99 Объем
18%
Франк Бенедетто
$319 Объем
10%
Франческо Тоскано
$94 Объем
3%
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli leads the Reggio di Calabria by-election market at 71% implied probability because Forza Italia and its centre-right allies have consolidated behind the party’s national treasurer for the September 27-28 vote in the uninominal constituency vacated by Francesco Cannizzaro. The seat has long been a centre-right stronghold, and the coalition’s unified backing plus low expected turnout typical of by-elections reinforce trader expectations. Domenico Giannetta, backed by Futuro Nazionale, sits at 17.5% after splitting from Forza Italia, while centre-left candidate Frank Benedetto and smaller-party contender Francesco Toscano trail at lower levels. Candidate formalization in late August and the absence of further major shifts have kept the hierarchy stable heading into the final weeks.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$664Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli leads the Reggio di Calabria by-election market at 71% implied probability because Forza Italia and its centre-right allies have consolidated behind the party’s national treasurer for the September 27-28 vote in the uninominal constituency vacated by Francesco Cannizzaro. The seat has long been a centre-right stronghold, and the coalition’s unified backing plus low expected turnout typical of by-elections reinforce trader expectations. Domenico Giannetta, backed by Futuro Nazionale, sits at 17.5% after splitting from Forza Italia, while centre-left candidate Frank Benedetto and smaller-party contender Francesco Toscano trail at lower levels. Candidate formalization in late August and the absence of further major shifts have kept the hierarchy stable heading into the final weeks.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Объем
$664Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Fabio Roscioli leads the Reggio di Calabria by-election market at 71% implied probability because Forza Italia and its centre-right allies have consolidated behind the party’s national treasurer for the September 27-28 vote in the uninominal constituency vacated by Francesco Cannizzaro. The seat has long been a centre-right stronghold, and the coalition’s unified backing plus low expected turnout typical of by-elections reinforce trader expectations. Domenico Giannetta, backed by Futuro Nazionale, sits at 17.5% after splitting from Forza Italia, while centre-left candidate Frank Benedetto and smaller-party contender Francesco Toscano trail at lower levels. Candidate formalization in late August and the absence of further major shifts have kept the hierarchy stable heading into the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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